
MAIN CARD:
Lightweight Bout: Nate Diaz vs. Clay Guida

Nate Diaz
10-2 (7 Submissions, 2 KO/TKO)
Key Victorys:
Josh Neer, Kurt Pellegrino, Alvin Robinson, Manvel Gamburyan
Strengths:
Grappling, Submissions - Cesar Gracie jiu-jitsu brown belt
Will throw a ton of punches, as an annoyance, good hand speed and accuracy, just not alot of power. KOs from accumulation are a possibility.
Long, lanky, thin fighter, reach advantage.
Finished several fights with submission chokes (triangle, rear naked, and guillotine)
Weakness:
Stand up hasn't been really tested against someone with the non stop aggressive style of Guida.
Potential Fight Plan:
Get the fight to the ground avoid taking to much damage work for a fast submission.
My Notes:
Excting fighter to watch, lot of heart. Not scared to fight the top competition.

Clay Guida
23-9 (11 Submissions, 3 KO/TKO, 9 Decisions)
Key Victorys:
Bart Palaszewski, Josh Thompson, Marcus Aurello, Mac Danzig
Strengths:
Non stop energy, wrestling, submission skills and heavy hands, insane cardio.
Weakness:
Open to submissions.
Potential Fight Plan:
Throw bombs, keep it standing up, don't let Diaz get it down.
My Notes:
Love watching this dude fight, high energy.
Always Fight of the Night potential.
My Prediction:
Diaz should be able to to pull off another slick submission but wouldn't be suprised to see Guida catch Diaz with a KO blow. Reguardless, of the outcome, if he is able Guida will run around the Octagon like he wasnt just in a fight.
Diaz 2nd round Submission
Welterweight Bout:Karo Parisyan vs. Dong Hyun Kim

Karo Parisyan
18-9 (9 Submissions,0 KO,9 Decisions)
Key Victorys:
Nick Diaz, Matt Serra, Drew Fickett
Strengths:
World class judo.
Throw to submission transistion is incredibly fast.
Physically strong.
Weakness:
Not a fast starter, methodical
Potential Fight Plan:
Gain the top position on the ground, work for submissions, stay active, and do enough to keep the fight on the ground.
My Notes:
Not one of my favorite fighters to watch, slow successful and highly technical.

Dong Hyun Kim
11-0-1(6 KO,1 Submission,4 Decisions)
Key Victorys:
Hidehiko Hasegawa (DEEP champion)
Strengths:
Judo and striking.
Leg kicks
Weakness:
Haven't seen enough of his fights.
Potential Fight Plan:
neutralize Karo's judo, keep the fight standing & at a distance.
My Notes:
Former sparring partner of Yushin Okami
Fairly new to the UFC.
My Predictions:
I see this fight going to a decision.
Dong Hyun Kim Unanimous Decision
Light Heavyweight Bout:Stephan Bonnar vs. Jon Jones

Stephan Bonnar
12-4 (2 Ko, 7 Submissions,3 Decisions)
Key Victorys:
Terry Martin, Sam Hoger, Keith Jardine
Strengths:
Will stand and trade, strong chin, good grappling.
Great jiu-jitsu
Weakness:
Has great jiu-jitsu and still wants to stand up the majority of the fights
Potential Fight Plan:
take the fight down work for a submission
My Notes:
Bonnar hasn't fought alot of top level competition since 2006 - partially due to a suspension.

Jon Jones
6-0 (4 KO, 1 Submission, 1 Decision)
Key Victorys:
Andre Gusmao
Strengths:
Fast striker very active
Weakness:
Not seen as many of his fights.
Potential Fight Plan:
Go straight forward try to overwelm Bonnar and get stoppage.
My Notes:
3 fights in April of 2008, one in June and one in July of 2008 most finished in the first round by ko/tko from strikes, one finished in the 2nd.
My Prediction:
This should be or has the potential to be a slugfest. Bonnar loves to stand and swing. I am going to pick an upset on this one.
Jon Jones 2nd round KO/TKO
Light Heavyweight Bout :Lyoto Machida vs. Thiago Silva

Lyoto Machida
13-0 (3 KO, 2 Submissions,8 Decisions)
Key Victorys:
Stephan Bonnar, Rich Franklin, BJ Penn, Vernon White, Rameau Thierry Soloudjou, Tito Ortiz
Strengths:
Elusive, hit and run,
Karate
Brazilian jiu-jitsu, kicks and punches from unusual angles not straight forward.
Weakness:
Hasn't shown too many real weaknesses.
Potential Fight Plan:
Stay out of Silvas range, counter, and move back out of range.
Slow the pace and take it to a decision.
My Notes:
Very good at avoiding contact, completely different style.
Not very exciting fighter to watch - very methodical.

Thiago Silva
13-0 (10 KO,2 Submissions,1 Decision)
Key Victorys:
James Irvin, Houston Alexander
Strengths:
Muay Thai, Brazillian jiu-jitsu black belt
Chute Boxe Academy trained.
Member of American Top Team.
Aggressive, heavy hands, non stop attack.
Weakness:
Nothing glaring.
Potential Fight Plan:
Cut off the cage, press the action, don't allow Machida to set up .
My Notes:
Very solid all around fighter, dangerously explosive.
Brutal.
My Prediction:
These are 2 of the more difficult fighters for other fighters to figure out, one is going to be that much closer to a shot at the title in the talent heavy 205 lb Light Heavyweight class.
Thiago Silva 1st round KO/TKO
Welterweight Championship Bout: Georges St-Pierre vs. B.J. Penn

Georges St-Pierre -UFC Welterweight Champion (170lb)
17-2 (7 KO,5 Submisions,5 Decisions)
Key Victorys:
Matt Hughes 2x, Jon Fitch, Sean Sherk, BJ Penn, Josh Koscheck
Strengths:
Black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu
Strong Wrestler
Muay Thai
All around complete fighter
Weakness:
No weaknesses
Potential Fight Plan:
Take the fight deep and try to out work BJ with superior cardio.
My Notes:

B.J. Penn - UFC Lightweight Champion (155 lb)
13-4-1 (5 KO, 5 Submissions,3 Decisions)
Key Victorys:
Jens Pulver, Matt Serra, Matt Hughes,Rodrigo Gracie, Renzo Gracie, Joe Stevenson, Sean Sherk, Caol Uno, and Takanori Gomi
Strengths:
Flexibility
Striking
Brazilian jiu-jitsu
Weakness:
Cardio - has ran out of stamina in longer fights.
Potential Fight Plan:
Get GSP down ground and pound, inflict damage, and either try for a submission or stoppage, & then lick the blood off his gloves. Try to end the fight early.
My Notes:
BJ lost a split decision to GSP for the right to fight Matt Hughes for the UFC Welterweight title.
My Prediction:
This is going to be/ should be one of the better match ups of the night- how couldn't it be? 2 of the top 10 pound for pound best fighters in the world vs each other. I see this fight being a great competition between 2 almost identically skilled fighters. This more than likely will come down to heart and desire.
Penn 3rd round KO/TKO
Disclaimer:
The preceding are my observations and a way for me to breakdown the fights based on previous fights. To do this I first look at the fighters strengths, weakness to try and guess what the game plan could be matching strengths and weaknesses. Again only my opinions and what I think will happen.
I am not responsible for your "Diet Coke" action - TwistedJoker























